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Market participants: In 2025, the steel industry may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. At the 2025 China steel market prospect and the annual meeting of "My Steel", whether the profit space of steel enterprises can be enlarged in 2025, whether the supply-side capacity will be withdrawn in an orderly manner, and what factors should be relied on for the long-term development of enterprises have become the minds of many participants. The industry believes that the survival pressure of steel enterprises may be eased in 2025. The upstream supply of iron ore, coke and coking coal will reduce their prices, and the cost of steel enterprises will fall. The market may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. Market participants said that although steel prices are still expected to decline in 2025, the profit margin of steel enterprises may increase. (SSE)Australia announced the establishment of bass strait (the strait between the Australian mainland and Tasmania) offshore wind power area in Tasmania, southeast of Australia.Adobe's performance guidance fell less than expected by more than 9% after hours. Adobe gave disappointing performance guidance for fiscal year 2025, highlighting concerns that this creative software giant may be subverted by emerging startups based on artificial intelligence. The company said in a statement on Wednesday that it expects revenue of about $23.4 billion in the fiscal year ending November 2025. Earnings per share excluding some items are expected to be $20.2-$20.5. Analysts expect an average revenue of $23.8 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $20.52. Adobe, known for its software for creative professionals, is adding generative AI functions to its applications, such as embedding its proprietary model Firefly into products such as Photoshop. Adobe released an AI tool for making videos at the annual user conference in October, which has been embedded in the editing application Premiere and is gradually being promoted to the public. Adobe shares fell more than 9% in after-hours trading.

The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)New york gold futures rose by 1.3% and stood at $2,750 on the release date of US CPI inflation data. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), spot gold rose by 0.89% to $2,718.31/ounce, and the refresh date at 13:05 Beijing time was as low as $2,675.69-a short-term V-shaped reversal occurred, and the US CPI data failed to break around $2,695 earlier in the day. After the US Treasury Department disclosed the results of the 10-year benchmark bond at 02:00, the daily refresh rate reached $2,721.14, which stood on the 50-day moving average for two consecutive trading days (the technical index was temporarily reported at $2,669.93). Spot silver was roughly flat at $31.9030 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose by 1.29% to $2,753.60 per ounce, and rose to $2,759.70 at 23:42, which was on the rise all day. COMEX silver futures rose 0.15% to $32.795 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.23% to $4.2620/lb.The Iraqi Foreign Minister talked with the French Foreign Minister to discuss the situation in Syria and combat extremism. On December 11th, local time, Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein talked with French Foreign Minister Barrow. During the call, the two sides agreed that the extremist organization "Islamic State" should be prevented from rebuilding its power. At the same time, the two countries should continue to carry out joint anti-terrorism operations in Syria and Iraq and continue to maintain cooperation in strengthening regional security and stability. The two foreign ministers discussed the security, military and political situation in Syria, and discussed the impact of the Syrian situation on Iraq and the region. The two sides stressed the need to promote the comprehensive political settlement of the Syrian issue led by the United Nations, ensure the full participation of all ethnic groups in Syria and safeguard their rights. The two sides agreed that in addition to communication with relevant countries and Syria's neighbors (including Turkey, Jordan, Lebanon and other Arab countries), Iraq and France should also continue bilateral coordination.

CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.The Iraqi Foreign Minister talked with the French Foreign Minister to discuss the situation in Syria and combat extremism. On December 11th, local time, Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein talked with French Foreign Minister Barrow. During the call, the two sides agreed that the extremist organization "Islamic State" should be prevented from rebuilding its power. At the same time, the two countries should continue to carry out joint anti-terrorism operations in Syria and Iraq and continue to maintain cooperation in strengthening regional security and stability. The two foreign ministers discussed the security, military and political situation in Syria, and discussed the impact of the Syrian situation on Iraq and the region. The two sides stressed the need to promote the comprehensive political settlement of the Syrian issue led by the United Nations, ensure the full participation of all ethnic groups in Syria and safeguard their rights. The two sides agreed that in addition to communication with relevant countries and Syria's neighbors (including Turkey, Jordan, Lebanon and other Arab countries), Iraq and France should also continue bilateral coordination.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.